As some of you may recall, shortly before New York City resident Bob Kerrey officially entered the race for U.S. Senate in Nebraska last month, the NRSC released a memo which ended with this….
- When Kerrey officially jumps into this race, the liberal establishment in D.C. will undoubtedly jump for joy, and some Washington political prognosticators may even buy the Democrats’ spin that this is a “game-changer.” We also expect that with his pro-choice, pro-Obama, and pro-cap-and-trade credentials firmly intact, the liberal establishment will also rush to help pad Kerry’s campaign war chest and he will have the resources needed to put a significant campaign structure in place. But the reality is that none of that will ultimately matter — Bob Kerrey isn’t just far more liberal than many of his friends in Washington – he also has far more serious electability problems than Ben Nelson ever did.
And as predicted, national Democrats relentlessly spun his entrance into the race and several media outlets even reported it as a positive shift in the Democrats’ direction as they fight to hold on to their Senate majority.
Given that, I wanted to point out what Public Policy Polling – a Democratic polling firm with a history of financially contributing to the DSCC – just reported a short time ago….
- PPP’s newest Nebraska Senate poll finds that Democrats are in a much worse position with Bob Kerrey as their candidate than they would have been with Ben Nelson….Kerrey trails the top 3 Republican contenders by double digits. He’s down 17 to Jon Bruning at 54-37, 14 to Don Stenberg at 52-38, and 10 to Deb Fischer at 48-38. In PPP’s last poll before he announced his retirement Ben Nelson trailed Bruning by only 4, Stenberg by 3, and actually led Fischer by 2. This does not appear to be one of those instances where a retirement left the party better off.
And left unsaid in PPP’s memo is that their poll findings come after Kerrey has spent tens of thousands of dollars in positive, statewide TV ads in an effort to re-introduce himself to voters in Nebraska.
For those of you who have followed PPP’s history of working endlessly to find silver linings for Democratic Senate candidates – at least months out from an election when they can’t necessarily be held to account on their numbers – one is left to wonder, if even PPP is coming to this conclusion just how bad are Bob Kerrey’s poll numbers?