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Weekly Polling Analysis

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@stevenfoley

A former U.S.Marine, he is the Creator of The Minority Report Network. He is also the Founder and Managing Editor of the Network’s flagship site, www.theminorityreportblog.com, Former Director of New Media for Liberty.com, Former Director of New Media for Liberty First PAC, and the Former Chief Managing Editor of 73Wire.com. Steve is a well respected national conservative blogger who’s dedicated the past several years of his life advancing conservatism online. Recently Steve was instrumental in the development of Liberty.com, Liberty First PAC, The Patriot Caucus, the national campaign trail and grassroots news site73wire.com.

MUST READ:
According to Fox News, 49% of registered voters (47% of Independent registered voters) believe lawmakers could eliminate the federal deficit if they got rid of waste and fraud. 42% (40% of Independents) think lawmakers will have to make painful decisions about taxes and spending in order to eliminate the national debt.

According to Pew, 72% of adults think reducing the budget deficit should be a top priority for lawmakers. That figure is up 19 points from four years ago.

According to Associated Press/GfK, 30% of adults think Congress should focus on raising taxes to cut the budget deficit; 49% think it should concentrate on cutting spending; and 11% think it should focus on both equally.

Associated Press/GfK asked which policies respondents would support in order to cut the budget deficit. According to the poll:

  • 41% of adults would support cutting defense spending; 40% would oppose.
  • 35% of adults would support raising the Medicare eligibility age; 53% would oppose.
  • 30% of adults would support changing the way the Social Security benefits are increased so the annual increase is less than it is today; 49% would oppose.
  • 60% of adults would support raising Medicare premiums for wealthier individuals; 25% would oppose.

President Obama: Average approval from early to late January was 52.2% according to RealClearPolitics. Average disapproval was 43.1%. (The average one week ago, which covered early to mid-January, was 52.8%. Average disapproval was 43.0%)

Here are the polls released this week on Presidential job approval:

  • Associated Press/GfK: 54% of adults approve and 42% disapprove.
  • CBS/New York Times: 51% of adults approve, up from 47% in late January 2012. 41% disapprove, down from 45% one year ago.
  • Fox News: 47% of registered voters (37% of Independent registered voters) approve, up from 45% in January 2012, and 47% (49% of Independents) disapprove, the same as one year ago.

Gallup tracks President Obama’s job approval on a weekly basis. The average one week ago (Jan. 7-13, 2012) showed 54% approved and 41% disapproved. The latest weekly numbers available (Jan. 14-20, 2012) showed 50% approve and 43% disapprove. Last year at this time (Jan. 16-22, 2011), 45% approved and 46% disapproved.

Rasmussen conducts a daily tracking poll. One week ago (Jan. 18), 54% approved and 45% disapproved. On Jan. 25, approval was 55%; disapproval was 44%. Last year at this time, the President’s approval was 48% and his disapproval 51%.

Congress: Average approval for early- to mid-January was 15.2% according to the RealClearPolitics average. Average disapproval was 79.3%. (The average one week ago, which covered early to mid-January, was 15.3%. Average disapproval was 80.3%)

Here are the polls released this week on Congressional job approval:

  • Associated Press/GfK: 17% of adults approve and 77% disapprove.
  • CBS/New York Times: 12% of adults approve, down from 13% in late January 2012. 82% disapprove, up from 79% one year ago.
  • Fox News: 16% of registered voters (5% of Independent registered voters) approve and 76% (85% of Independents) disapprove.

Right Track/Wrong Track: According to the RealClearPolitics average, which covered  mid- to late January, 36.6% think the country is headed in the right direction while 56.4% think it is headed in the wrong direction. (One week ago, the right track average, which covered early to mid-January, was 36%. The wrong track average was 57.3%.)

Here are the polls released this week on the direction of the country:

  • Associated Press/GfK: 38% of adults think the country is headed in the right direction and 53% think it is headed in the wrong direction.
  • CBS/New York Times: 38% of adults think the country is headed in the right direction, up from 29% in late January 2012. 57% think it is headed in the wrong direction, down from 66% one year ago.
  • Rasmussen: 35% of likely voters think the country is headed in the right direction and 57% think it is headed in the wrong direction.

ISSUE SPECIFIC

Budget Deficit & Spending:
According to Fox News, 21% of registered voters (15% of Independent registered voters) think the federal deficit will go down this year.

According to Fox News, 77% of registered voters (80% of Independent registered voters) think cutting the federal deficit is a worthy goal in itself. 17% (15% of Independents) do not believe it is a worthy goal on its own.

According to Fox News, 11% of registered voters (5% of Independent registered voters) think federal government spending is managed carefully while 83% (91% of Independents) think it is out of control.

According to Rasmussen, 81% of likely voters feel members of Congress should take a 25% pay cut until the federal budget is balanced. Only 12% disagree.

According to CBS/New York Times, 13% of adults think the budget deficit is the most important thing for the president to focus on over the next four years. Only the economy (23%) received a higher percentage.

President Obama approval on the issue:

Debt Ceiling:
According to Gallup, 56% of adults say the federal debt ceiling has hurt their family’s finances.

According to Fox News, 23% of registered voters (21% of Independent registered voters) think it is reckless not to increase the debt ceiling. 69% (68% of Independents) say the ceiling should only be increased after lawmakers agree to spending cuts.

According to Associated Press/GfK, 31% of adults support raising the debt ceiling, 19% oppose and 40% neither support or oppose.

According to CBS/New York Times, 17% of adults think the debt ceiling should be raised without condition; 60% think it should raised only with spending cuts; and 18% think it should not be raised at all. According to Associated Press/GfK, 30% of adults think Congress should raise the debt ceiling without precondition; 39% think it should be raised only when combined with significant spending cuts; and 21% think it shouldn’t be raised at all.

Economy & Jobs:
According to Rasmussen, 53% of likely voters think economic growth is more important than economic fairness while 35% think economic fairness is more important. 12% were not sure.

According to CBS/New York Times, 33% of adults think the economy is getting better, 30% think it is getting worse, and 36% say it is stuck in neutral.

According to Associated Press/GfK, 39% of adults think the economy will be better in one year, 34% think it will be worse and 23% think it will be the same.

According to Fox News, 0% of registered voters (the same number of Independent registered voters) think the economy is in excellent shape; 9% (7% of Independents) think it is in good shape; 40% (38% of Independents) think it is in fair shape; and 51% (55% of Independents) think it is in poor shape. According to CBS/New York Times, 2% of adults think the economy is in very good shape; 30% think it is in fairly good shape; 43% think it is in fairly bad shape; and 23% think it is in very bad shape. According to Associated Press/GfK, 23% of adults think the economy is in good shape and 62% think it is in poor shape.

According to Gallup, its “Economic Confidence Index improved to -13 for the week ending Jan. 20, from -18 the week prior. Americans’ confidence in the economy has improved for three weeks in a row after deteriorating during fiscal cliff negotiations.”

According to CBS/New York Times, 23% of adults think the economy is the most important thing for the president to focus on over the next four years. No other issue received a higher percentage.

President Obama approval on the issue:

  • CBS/New York Times: 46% of adults approve, up from 40% in late January 2012. 49% disapprove, down from 54% one year ago.

Health Care:
According to CBS/New York Times, 24% of adults think the 2010 health care law should be expanded; 18% think it should be kept as is; 19% think the individual mandate should be repealed; and 33% think the entire law should be repealed.

Regulations:
According to Gallup, 48% of adults say government regulations have hurt their family’s finances.

Taxes:
According to Fox News, 88% of registered voters (92% of Independent registered voters) think their federal taxes will go up this year.

According to Gallup, 69% of adults say taxes have hurt their family’s finances.

According to Fox News, 43% of registered voters (39% of Independent registered voters) think President Obama has kept his promise not to raise middle class taxes. 50% (52% of Independents) do not believe he has.

According to Rasmussen, 22% of adults favor a national sales tax on all goods and services. 62% oppose the creation of such a tax and 16% are undecided.

According to Rasmussen, 31% of likely voters think it’s a good idea to swap income taxes for sales taxes. 41% don’t think it’s a good idea to eliminate a state’s income tax in exchange for a higher sales tax. 28% are not sure.

 

Public Notice is an independent non-profit dedicated to providing facts and insight on the economy and how government policy affects Americans’ financial well-being.

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