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Weekly Polling Analysis

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POLLING ANALYSIS

February 2-8, 2013

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According to Fox News, when given two choices, 15% of registered voters (11% of Independent registered voters) said increasing spending would be more likely to strengthen the economy. 73% (76% of Independent voters) think cutting government spending would be more likely to help. 7% (8% of Independents) said neither would help.

According to Fox News, 83% of registered voters (87% of Independent registered voters) say the federal government has a spending problem. 14% (11% of Independents) say it does not.

President Obama: Average approval from mid-January to early February was 51% according to RealClearPolitics. Average disapproval was 43.6%. (The average one week ago, which covered early to late January, was 52.3%. Average disapproval was 42.8%)

Here are the polls released this week on presidential job approval:

  • Economist: 46% of adults approve and 46% disapprove.
  • Fox News: 49% of registered voters approve, up from 48% in February 2012; 45% disapprove – the same number as one year ago. Among Independent registered voters, 43% approve and 48% disapprove.
  • Public Policy Polling: 49% of registered voters approve and 48% disapprove.
  • Quinnipiac: 46% of registered voters (40% of Independent registered voters) approve and 45% (47% of Independents) disapprove.

Gallup tracks President Obama’s job approval on a weekly basis. The average one week ago (Jan. 21-27, 2012) showed 52% approved and 43% disapproved. The latest weekly numbers available (Jan. 28-Feb. 3, 2012) showed 53% approve and 42% disapprove. Last year at this time (Jan. 30-Feb. 5, 2011), 46% approved and 47% disapproved.

Rasmussen conducts a daily tracking poll. One week ago (Feb. 1), 56% approved and 44% disapproved. On Feb. 8, approval was 52%; disapproval was 47%. Last year at this time, the President’s approval was 50% and his disapproval 49%.

Congress: Average approval for early January to early February was 15.6% according to the RealClearPolitics average. Average disapproval was 78.7%. (The average one week ago, which covered early to late January, was 15.4%. Average disapproval was 78.6%)

Here are the polls released this week on Congressional job approval:

  • Economist: 11% of adults approve and 64% disapprove.
  • Fox News: 17% of registered voters approve, up from 13% in February 2012; 77% disapprove, down from 79% one year ago. Among Independent registered voters, 12% approve and 84% disapprove.

Right Track/Wrong Track: According to the RealClearPolitics average, which covered mid-January to early February, 37.4% think the country is headed in the right direction while 55.6% think it is headed in the wrong direction. (One week ago, the right track average, which covered  mid- to late January, was 37.4%. The wrong track average was 55.8%.)

Here are the polls released this week on the direction of the country:

  • Economist: 30% of adults think the country is headed in the right direction and 54% think it is headed in the wrong direction.
  • Rasmussen: 39% of likely voters think the country is headed in the right direction and 53% think it is headed in the wrong direction.

ISSUE SPECIFIC

American Dream:
According to Fox News, 24% of registered voters (23% of Independent registered voters) think the country is stronger and more powerful than it was five years ago; 48% (49% of Independents) think it is weaker and less powerful; and 27% (the same number of Independents think it is the same.

According to Fox News, 65% of registered voters (62% of Independent registered voters) say it is still possible to achieve the American Dream if an individual works hard. 29% (31% of Independents) say it is not.

Budget Deficit & Spending:
According to Fox News, 54% of registered voters (56% of Independent registered voters) think the proposal to withhold lawmakers’ pay until they pass a budget is a gimmick. 40% (41% of Independents) think it is a serious proposal that could result in Congress passing a budget.

According to Rasmussen, 36% of likely voters think the president and Congress should stop the automatic spending cuts from going into effect next month. 30% ay Congress and the president should not stop the automatic spending cuts; 34% are undecided.

According to the Economist, 58% of adults think the budget deficit is a “very important issue” facing the U.S.

President Obama approval on the issue:

  • Economist: 33% of adults approve and 51% disapprove.
  • Fox News: 33% of registered voters (26% of Independent registered voters) approve and 61% (69% of Independents) disapprove.

Economy & Jobs:
According to Fox News, 40% of registered voters (44% of Independent registered voters) think the worst is over when it comes to the economy’s problems. 52% (51% of Independents) think the worst is yet to come.

According to Rasmussen, 45% of adults believe it would be bad for the economy if the government does more hiring. 10% think it would have no economic impact, while 15% are not sure.

According to Gallup, “U.S. Economic Confidence improved to -13 in January, matching the five-year monthly high set in November 2012. Economic confidence improved steadily from September to November before falling back to -17 after the presidential election, but has now returned to its pre-election peak.”

According to the Economist, 80% of adults think the economy is a “very important issue” facing the U.S.

According to the Economist, 24% of adults believe the economy is getting better, X35% believe it is getting worse; and 33% believe it is stuck in neutral.

President Obama approval on the issue:

  • Economist: 37% of adults approve and 49% disapprove.
  • Fox News: 42% of registered voters (38% of Independent registered voters) approve and 55% (60% of Independents) disapprove.

Entitlements:
According to Rasmussen, 56% of likely voters say, as long as they are able to cover the cost of their decision, people should have the right to pick their own Social Security and Medicare retirement age. 24% don’t think Americans should have that option; 19% are unsure.

Stimulus:
According to Fox News, 34% of registered voters (34% of Independent registered voters) say the 2009 federal stimulus worked. 60% (58% of Independents) say it did not.

According to Fox News, 29% of registered voters (24% of Independent registered voters) would favor another stimulus bill. 61% (67% of Independents) would oppose it.

Taxes:
According to Fox News, 61% of registered voters (the same number of Independent registered voters) say their paychecks are smaller this year because of taxes being taken out. 26% (25% of Independents) say their paychecks are not smaller.

According to Fox News, 68% of registered voters (72% of Independent registered voters) say middle class taxes will go up this year. 25% (22% of Independents) say they will not.

According to Rasmussen, when given four options, 43% of adults believe the sales tax is the one that is most fair. 26% rate an income tax is the most fair 6% said property taxes and 5% said payroll taxes.

According to Rasmussen, 49% of adults believe they pay more than their fair share of taxes. 29% don’t think they pay more than their fair share. 23% are not sure. Only 24% of adults believe wealthy Americans pay their fair share in taxes. 21% think wealthy Americans pay more than their fair share in taxes, while 49% feel they pay less than their fair share.

View of Government:
According to Fox News, 58% of registered voters (65% of Independent registered voters) say the federal government is too powerful and is restricting freedoms 38% (29% of Independents) say they are comfortable with the current role of the federal government.

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