Weekly Polling Analysis

Weekly Polling Analysis

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POLLING ANALYSIS
February 9-15, 2013

MUST READ:

President Obama: Average approval from mid-January to mid-February was 50.7% according to RealClearPolitics. Average disapproval was 42.8%. (The average one week ago, which covered mid- to early February, was 51%. Average disapproval was 43.6%)

Here are the polls released this week on Presidential job approval:

  • No polls of note.

Gallup tracks President Obama’s job approval on a weekly basis. The average one week ago (Jan. 28-Feb. 3, 2012) showed 53% approved and 42% disapproved. The latest weekly numbers available (Feb. 4-10, 2012) showed 52% approve and 42% disapprove. Last year at this time (Feb. 6-12, 2011), 47% approved and 47% disapproved.

Rasmussen conducts a daily tracking poll. One week ago (Feb. 8), 52% approved and 47% disapproved. On Feb. 15, approval was 53%; disapproval was 46%. Last year at this time, the President’s approval was 48% and his disapproval 51%.

Congress: Average approval for early January to early February was 15.6% according to the RealClearPolitics average. Average disapproval was 78.7%. (The average one week ago, which covered early January to early February, was 15.6%. Average disapproval was 78.7%)

Here are the polls released this week on Congressional job approval:

  • No polls of note.

Right Track/Wrong Track: According to the RealClearPolitics average, which covered mid-January to mid-February, 37.2% think the country is headed in the right direction while 56% think it is headed in the wrong direction. (One week ago, the right track average, which covered  mid- to early February, was 37.4%. The wrong track average was 55.6%.)

Here are the polls released this week on the direction of the country:

  • Rasmussen: 38% of likely voters think the country is headed in the right direction and 55% think it is headed in the wrong direction.

ISSUE-SPECIFIC

Budget Deficit & Spending:
According to Rasmussen, 46% of likely voters think the long-term plan for reducing the federal deficit should be based on spending cuts only. 41% would rather see a combination of spending cuts and tax hikes. 8% believe the long-term budget deficit should be reduced by simply raising taxes.

According to Rasmussen, that 55% of likely voters think cutting government spending would do more to help the economy than increasing government spending on infrastructure, clean energy and education projects. 36% believe increased spending in those areas would help the economy more.

President Obama approval on the issue:

  • Gallup: 31% of adults approve and 65% disapprove.

Economy & Jobs:
According to Rasmussen, 51% of likely voters say what worries them more is that the federal government will not do enough in reacting to the nation’s current economic problems. 37% are more worried the government will do too much in response to the bad economy. 12% are undecided.

According to Gallup, “economic confidence fell to -13 in the week ending Feb. 10, down from the five-year weekly high of -8 set just a week ago. Weekly confidence hit -10 in the week ending Nov. 4, just prior to the presidential election, and then fell after the election before returning to peak levels during the last week of January and the first week of February.”

President Obama approval on the issue:

  • Gallup: 39% of adults approve and 60% disapprove.

Entitlements:
According to the Rasmussen, 59% of likely voters have at least a somewhat favorable impression of Social Security. 34% have an unfavorable opinion of the government retirement program.

Health Care:
According to Rasmussen, 46% of likely voters have a favorable opinion of the 2010 health care law; 49% view it unfavorably.

Public Notice is an independent non-profit dedicated to providing facts and insight on the economy and how government policy affects Americans’ financial well-being.

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