Well, I suppose this is great news. [UPDATED!]

Tagged:

Trouble is, it's frankly a little hard to believe.

Quote:
In the new survey, more voters call themselves Republicans. Now 48% say they're Democrats or lean to the Democratic Party; 47% say they're Republicans or lean to the GOP.

Not since February 2005, right after Bush's second inauguration, have Republicans been within a single point of Democrats in party identification.

What's more, voters by 48%-45% support the Democratic candidate in their congressional district, the party's narrowest advantage this year.

Wow - I mean, that's almost, erm, unbelievable. No?

UPDATE: Well, maybe not. Dare we to dream that Ohio may soon be "off the board" for The Chosen One? And can anyone cobble-together an electoral map whereby the Chosen One wins without Ohio? Because I'm not sure I can.

We now return to our regularly scheduled broadcast.

Now if you look at EP it's still pretty clear that we're in for a bit of a drubbing - at least at the congressional level (let's face it - a 6-seat Senate and double-digit House loss on top of the pasting we suffered last election would be fairly classified as a drubbing). But if Party ID is truly only a 1-point difference, and the generic ballot has shrunk to 3, then we should start seeing some of these numbers narrow over the next couple of weeks.

We can all hope that this is the beginning of a new (or actual) election campaign - but only time will tell whether this was a bad sample or a temporary high-water mark on our way to Davy Jones' Locker.

More from Ace and Captain Ed. Ace is, like me, rathe skeptical whereas Ed is, shall we say, a little more on board with the numbers.

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heads up to head on over... been a long time....the site looks great!

Sorry for the jack DocJ....

"And in the end, it's not the years in your life that count. It's the life in your years."
Abe Lincoln

speciallist's picture

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."

speciallist's picture

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."

Jaded's picture

Whoever has his enemy at his mercy & does not destroy him is his own enemy

my little friend
"And in the end, it's not the years in your life that count. It's the life in your years."
Abe Lincoln

66chevelle's picture

for an increase in Open Thread Buffets...Roast beef and Ham every night! How do you like them enchiladas?

Good to see you, dude. Sorry I didn't get around to this yesterday...spent my meager writing skills composing an email to my eldest son's teacher last night. My "attorney" wife kept editing; You can never be too careful with the Public Education Cartel.

many of the regs made the trek over...

A question for Specialist....do Titles transfer over from site to site?... I think I remember having been given " Sultan" of something...
"And in the end, it's not the years in your life that count. It's the life in your years."
Abe Lincoln

speciallist's picture

Looking through Lists..............by the way I was burning Docj with the thread comment not you...lol

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."

speciallist's picture

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."

speciallist's picture

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."

"And in the end, it's not the years in your life that count. It's the life in your years."
Abe Lincoln

speciallist's picture

Remember his run in with the ....Pawnshop?...gun?...

He was the Archduke of the ATF

And you were the........

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."

I think it was Spew....Sultan of
"And in the end, it's not the years in your life that count. It's the life in your years."
Abe Lincoln

speciallist's picture

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."

speciallist's picture

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."

speciallist's picture

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."

66chevelle's picture

All that blinding white space on the screen!!! Somebody give me an ice pick!

raged it was like I was main lining DBall while trying to blog.... nnnnnot good!
"And in the end, it's not the years in your life that count. It's the life in your years."
Abe Lincoln

66chevelle's picture

special can attest to that. He talked me into unloading the trunk of my car...although he almost got me to post a little blog there. If I'd have known I'd be blammed without ceremony the next day, FNAR,(although I'm still chalking it up to the Technical Intermission) I would have posted it.

David Hinz's picture

I mean its not like you are a newbie

66chevelle's picture

In fact, I like to think it was a glitch amidst the chaos. I tried to contact them, but they may be getting so many attempts to get through that it's not something which is high on the list of priorities right now. it will all get sorted out, but this is my new homepage, regardless.

did you do to earn that? I used to be glued to RS and could keep up with the comings and goings and bannings, but the past 4-5 days have been just miserable. It is so bad that just being able to recommend EPU's latest diary was a high water mark. Of course, 3.0 ate the three comments I tried to post to his diary, so there you go. One step forward, 6 back.

Think they'll get it fixed by the time John and Sarah take their oaths in January?

66chevelle's picture

At this point, I can only say that I'm pretty sure I was banned, based on the word of some trusted sources. I can think of no comment I made that would have resulted in my banning, and if I received any warning about a ban-worthy comment, it must have been a "reply to this with your next comment" sort of thing which I--understandably--might have missed. No contact was made to me via email about it.

According to my sources, the ban may have been inadvertent and related to the current problems at RS.

I contacted RS Sunday via my email and received a rather cryptic auto-reply which seemed to reinforce my suspicion that I was indeed banned.

Right now, I am investigating some possibly-related issues which could result in my first-ever diary. If you ever see me again as RS, it will be as 66chevelle.

speciallist's picture

Be nice, im sure it was a mistake....Keep us updated on the "The Chronicles of Blooch"

LOL

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."

66chevelle's picture

but cripesamighty, Csonkchak, the chief's tied my hands on this, he's cut me out of the loop and I'm thinkin' he's sicced IA on me! Maybe he's blowin' smoke, but I'm still workin' this case.

David Hinz's picture

I just spoke with Erick. All is straightened out at RS. Your account is unblocked. I will email you Erick's email address.

66chevelle's picture

And a scholar as well.
Thank you, sir.

David Hinz's picture

don't put out that kind of propaganda -- I have a reputation to think of!

figure out whether or not you've been banned? :-) That's got to be some kind of high water mark of screw ups on the functioning of 3.0.

As to whether or not any of us see you at RS again, the jury's still out on whether or not ANY of us will be seen (or heard from) at RS again. I don't exactly have the entire day to sit here and WAIT to see if I can comment or recommend over there. Even just trying to read a comment has become near impossible. Why don't they post SOME information on what they are trying to do instead of just letting all of us get frustrated and leave?

speciallist's picture

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."

.

66chevelle's picture

E Pluribus Unum's picture

and I don't think that's an indicator that you've been banned -- something IIRC along the lines of 'this question from a non-member has been held up in a queue until a moderator reviews it', something like that?

Unfair. Unbalanced. Unmedicated.

66chevelle's picture

I told special it sounded like RoboState, and--this is some "law talkin' guy " for special--whereas this party does believe it was inadvertent on the other party's part and hopes this issue can be resolved amicably by all parties involved thereby forsooth and post haste sobeit ad infinitum. Party on.

66chevelle's picture

I keep expecting Moe and Erick to drift in out of the fog, on the next lifeboat, wrapped in blankets, teeth chattering, to the soft strains of "My Heart Will Go On" playing in the background.

speciallist's picture

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."

speciallist's picture

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."

David Hinz's picture

of the RedState Building. if that tells you anything...

speciallist's picture

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."

66chevelle's picture

where the chief calls the bad boy/maverick cops into his office and flips all the blinds closed?

"Csonkchak, Weathers, you''re suspended as of now. I want your guns and badges on my desk.. You will have nothing further to do with the Rainbow case and no more contact with the rookie...is that clear? If I find out you've been nosing around, I'll have Internal Affairs up your butt so far you'll bloo--you'll feel 'em on the back of your eyeballs. Now get the he// out of my sight!"

Or something like that...

speciallist's picture

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."

66chevelle's picture

The original '73 version...Joe Don Baker was great, but Fred would have walked even harder.

speciallist's picture

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."

speciallist's picture

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."

66chevelle's picture

I had no idea Jenna Fischer was so Hot.

Dewey Cox lol

speciallist's picture

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."

66chevelle's picture

trying to keep it together over there with duct tape chopsticks and spandex. Which is not to say there was no effort on payroll. I don't know jack about that ...just a lowly commenter.

If they make him an offer, they probably couldn't pay him enough to come in and clean up after the "Community Consultants".

it takes to get it right. ..take time and get it right. Anything less will just be total cheeze
"And in the end, it's not the years in your life that count. It's the life in your years."
Abe Lincoln

66chevelle's picture

and they need to order an industrial-size drum of "Played" from special to kill off the trolls skittering around in there when the lights go out..

speciallist's picture
"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier than those people in households that don't read TMR."
speciallist's picture

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."

66chevelle's picture

speciallist's picture

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."

less than 100%, they should re-name the freaking site ....WISCONSIN! or Kraft State!
"And in the end, it's not the years in your life that count. It's the life in your years."
Abe Lincoln

66chevelle's picture

Does that stuff still exist? We used to take it backpacking for a week at a time...indestructible, but so were our stomachs back then.

speciallist's picture

I will BLM u

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."

speciallist's picture

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."

c17wife's picture

I'm so confused.
I think we should make a rule that if you come over here from RS, you either have to keep your same name or you have to out yourself.

Brian Simpson's picture

Apparently he got banned over at RS.


I think I can say, and say with pride, that we have legislatures that bring higher prices than any in the world. ~ Mark Twain

at the same time. Found that a strange coincidence. Not to sound like the usual Troofers, but is it possible that denial of service attacks are responsible for any of the problems?

David Hinz's picture

Rep William Jefferson is still there providing fodder for all things corrupt -- Detroit Mayor Kwame Kilpatrick finally resigned, but comes up for sentencing in late Oct, just in time to remind us all of his crimes.

Good buddy Tony Rezko gets himself sentenced the end of October as well -- thank you judicial scheduling. Chris Dodd has not really explained his sweetheart mortgage deal -- something we all need to discuss publicly, along with the (dare I say) tax fraud our good friend Charlie Rangel provided us with this week.

For some reason, I suspect they will provide addition illegal activity before the election season is over.

gamecock's picture

abruptly from gop to dem? no
Is it unbelievable how the gop wins the presidency 7 out of 10 times after months of being behind in the polls? not to me
I see it 7 out of 10 times, and 7 07 when the dem is a known lib.

"One man with courage makes a majority." - Andrew Jackson

David Hinz's picture

is how suddenly it happened. It is almost as though the Conservative base was suddenly ENERGIZED -- as though the American people suddenly awoke from a long slumber to see someone they could embrace as their own...

...of course Operation Chaos might have had something to do with it as well.

DocJ's picture

As I recall it was a slow-motion meltdown starting in about MAR 2005 and culminating with the 2006 election - I hardly think that to be "abrupt" but to each his own, I suppose.

Look, I'd love for this to be real - but I'd like to see something besides Gallup (rhymes with "crap") back this up before I get too excited.

---------
Diplomacy is the art of saying 'Nice doggie' until you can find a rock.

gamecock's picture

"One man with courage makes a majority." - Andrew Jackson

gamecock's picture

and then see the gop gain the lead in the 90s and then 2000's that was abrupt, and was what I was referring to.

But then see it switch w/i one year from 2005-6, that is abrupt for sure.

"One man with courage makes a majority." - Andrew Jackson

David Hinz's picture

in 2006 due in large part to the millions put into the campaign by Jon Stryker. He turned several seats from R to D with the money he donated. Since then the people of Michigan have been fortunate enough to see this state lead the nation in unemployment and actual wage loss.

The atmosphere is NOT good for the Democrats -- even the husband of Sen Debbie Stabenow left the Party for 15 minute. I always say -- pay for two hours, even if you are only going to use 15 minutes -- that way you don't look like a cheapskate.

aceintx's picture

that Republicans are gonna get hammered and our leadership in the Congress has sat back and not done a damn thing to nationalize this election and change that dynamic...I know I'm sounding like a broken record but this Democrat Congress has a 9% approval rating and most Americans haven't woken up to the fact that it's the Dems who own it!

I think these numbers are very possibly correct given a recent poll that shows for the first time in history that not only are voters dissatisfied with Congress...they're dissatisfied with their members of Congress in and we have a real opportunity right now if Ensign and Cole will stop licking their testicles and feeling sorry for themselves and fight like hell to win! That's what they were put in leadership to do...FIGHT and WIN...

STOP SITTING BACK AND MAKING EXCUSES AND START RUNNING AGAINST THE MOST UNPOPULAR DEMOCRAT CONGRESS IN HISTORY!!!

BITTER CLINGERS UNITE!!!

speciallist's picture

"40 million American households that read TMR are generally happier
than those people in households that don't read TMR."