Trouble is, it's frankly a little hard to believe.
In the new survey, more voters call themselves Republicans. Now 48% say they're Democrats or lean to the Democratic Party; 47% say they're Republicans or lean to the GOP.Not since February 2005, right after Bush's second inauguration, have Republicans been within a single point of Democrats in party identification.
What's more, voters by 48%-45% support the Democratic candidate in their congressional district, the party's narrowest advantage this year.
Wow - I mean, that's almost, erm, unbelievable. No?
UPDATE: Well, maybe not. Dare we to dream that Ohio may soon be "off the board" for The Chosen One? And can anyone cobble-together an electoral map whereby the Chosen One wins without Ohio? Because I'm not sure I can.
We now return to our regularly scheduled broadcast.
Now if you look at EP it's still pretty clear that we're in for a bit of a drubbing - at least at the congressional level (let's face it - a 6-seat Senate and double-digit House loss on top of the pasting we suffered last election would be fairly classified as a drubbing). But if Party ID is truly only a 1-point difference, and the generic ballot has shrunk to 3, then we should start seeing some of these numbers narrow over the next couple of weeks.
We can all hope that this is the beginning of a new (or actual) election campaign - but only time will tell whether this was a bad sample or a temporary high-water mark on our way to Davy Jones' Locker.
More from Ace and Captain Ed. Ace is, like me, rathe skeptical whereas Ed is, shall we say, a little more on board with the numbers.


















heads up to head on over... been a long time....the site looks great!
Sorry for the jack DocJ....
"And in the end, it's not the years in your life that count. It's the life in your years."
Abe Lincoln