Update on Key Senate Races

2012 Election 2

Good Afternoon Folks –

Driving the discussion with just three days to go until Election Day….

In Massachusetts, on day three of Scott Brown’s “People Over Party” statewide bus tour, the Brown campaign released a new web video, called “Democrats For Brown,” featuring former state representatives Arthur Broadhurst of Methuen and Geoff Hall of Westford.   In the video, Broadhurst, who represented the 15th Essex District in the Massachusetts House of Representatives from 1993 to 2007, says he is supporting Brown because he puts “good ideas” ahead of any political label, and says that if we had “another hundred Scott Browns in Washington, I think you’d see a lot of things getting done, fast, quick to help the economy and help the people of Massachusetts and the country.”

  • Meanwhile, Wendy Long, a leading women and victim’s rights advocate pens an op-ed in the Patriot Ledger urging her fellow women in Massachusetts to vote for Scott Brown.  Warren thinks she deserves women’s votes because she supports free contraception, but an awful lot of women in Massachusetts aren’t worried about getting free birth control because they’re living in fear of dying in their own homes….Scott Brown has a record of supporting a tougher law enforcement and prosecutorial response to deal with the epidemic of violence against women and children…Scott Brown is more likely than Elizabeth Warren to save women’s lives because he sees value in a tougher law enforcement response. It’s a good reason to vote for Scott Brown even if, like me, you voted for Barack Obama in 2008.

 

  • And the Boston Herald has the latest from the campaign trailScott Brown — in a tossup race with challenger Elizabeth Warren just days before the election — swept through the Bay State at a breakneck pace yesterday, offering the profile of a working-man moderate running against a political machine.  Brown’s bus tour started with breakfast in Springfield and ended at a women-for-Brown rally in Chelmsford, with stops at a Chicopee lumber yard, an old-fashioned lunch counter in Worcester, a family-owned orchard in Methuen and a swing through Boston’s North End with former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani.

 

In Wisconsin, Governor Thompson released his closing ad where he reminds voters that together they’ve accomplished a lot things in the Badger State.  We’ve accomplished a lot together.  We’ve created thousands of manufacturing jobs, we’ve cut taxes, and we reformed welfare.  Today Washington is in desperate need of reform.  They are killing jobs and putting future generations in debt.  My plan balances the budget and gets America working again.

  • Meanwhile, the Hudson Star reports that Governor Walker, former Mayor Giuliani and former U.S. Senator Norm Coleman will join Tommy Thompson on his bus tour across Wisconsin.  At least four top Republicans will be visiting the Victory Center, 213 S. 2nd St. in Hudson, Saturday afternoon at 5:30 p.m.  Headlining the list is former New York City Mayor “Rudy” Giuliani. He will be joined by Gov. Scott Walker, former Minnesota U.S. Sen. Norm Coleman and Republican U.S. Senate candidate Tommy Thompson. The group will be promoting the Thompson candidacy. … Thompson is crisscrossing the state Friday, Saturday and Sunday on a “Restore America Tour.” The trip includes stops in many communities to gain last-minute support before Tuesday’s election.

 

In New Mexico, Glen Bolger a highly respected GOP pollster has Heather Wilson and liberal Congressman Martin Heinrich tied at 46.  As Politico’s Morning Score reportsNew Mexico Wilson tied at 46:  According to an internal poll of Republican Heather Wilsons’ race, she ties Martin Heinrich. … Memo: http://goo.gl/0abnm.

 

In Montana, ABC-Great Falls reportsWith his U.S. Senate Race one of the most closely watched in the nation, Congressman Denny Rehberg and his wife Jan cast their ballots Friday in Billings.  The Rehberg’s arrived Friday morning at the Yellowstone County Courthouse along with others to exercise their right to vote….“This is a big race. They say that Montana, there’s no path to a Republican majority in the United States Senate that doesn’t go through Montana. They figured that they have to win this seat. I feel compelled to say the same. I would not have felt right if I had not run for the United State Senate,” says Rehberg.

 

In Pennsylvania, a new poll commissioned by the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review finds the race now in a virtual dead heat.  Republican U.S. Senate nominee Tom Smith narrowed the race against Democratic Sen. Bob Casey Jr., pulling nearly even in a Tribune-Review poll.  Casey polled 46 percent to Smith’s 45 percent among likely voters, with 8 percent undecided, according to the survey by Susquehanna Polling & Research in Harrisburg.  Those figures show stagnation for Casey but a 4-point gain for Smith since a Trib-commissioned poll Sept. 12.  The more recent poll of 800 people from Oct. 29-31 has a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points.  “The momentum has clearly gone to Smith,” said Susquehanna President Jim Lee. He argued Casey made “a near-fatal” mistake by allowing Smith a chance to cast his political persona.  “You never allow the challenger to define himself or herself on his own terms,” Lee said.

 

  • And from the Associated Press todayFirst-term Sen. Bob Casey in Pennsylvania wasn’t on anyone’s lineup of vulnerable Democrats six months ago, especially after Republicans nominated little-known businessman Tom Smith. But the coal executive spent more than $17 million of his own money and cut into Casey’s edge. The National Republican Senatorial Committee and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce jumped in with money and ads in the final week. “I think a race that everyone here in Pennsylvania assumed was safe for Sen. Casey no longer is,” said Gene Barr, president of the Pennsylvania Chamber of Business and Industry.

 

In Virginia, the Washington Times’ editorial board strongly endorses George Allen – The contrast in this race is vivid. As a governor, senator, congressman and member of the commonwealth’s House of Delegates, Mr. Allen has a long record of leading the charge for limited government and job growth. Mr. Kaine frighteningly admitted that his work is simply, “Doing what the president wants me to do.” America can’t afford another Obama lackey voting to increase federal deficits and debt. The Washington Times endorses George Allen for the U.S. Senate.

 

  • On the campaign trail today, Allen is bringing his “Fighting For Our Jobs” tour to the Richmond area, where he will share his strong commitment to protecting and creating Virginia jobs, and join Congressman Paul Ryan for a Victory Rally at Richmond International Airport.

 

In Nevada, where Shelley Berkley was once hailed as a prolific fundraiser, the Las Vegas Review-Journal reports that the embattled Congresswoman has loaned her campaign $250,000 so she can get her campaign to Tuesday.  Rep. Shelley Berkley loaned her campaign $250,000 in the homestretch of a heated U.S. Senate race, the first time either Nevada candidate has needed to tap personal funds.  Berkley made the transactions in early and mid-October, including borrowing $50,000 from a retirement fund to send the money to her campaign, according to federal reports through Oct. 17. … Berkley also reported a $24,581 campaign debt to American Express.  Meanwhile, incumbent Republican Sen. Dean Heller had $1.2 million cash on hand heading into the final weeks of his $7.6 million campaign. He reported no loans or outstanding debt.

 

  • Meanwhile, the Reno Gazette-Journal’s Ray Hagar – the top political reporter in Northern Nevada – predicts that Dean Heller will defeat Shelley Berkley.  Sen. Dean Heller is doing something this campaign season that no other politician has to do.  He’s fighting two opponents. Heller was fond of saying it during the campaign and it’s true.  First, he is competing against his Democratic opponent, Rep. Shelley Berkley of Las Vegas.  Heller also has to deal with Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, master of the Machiavellian world of Capital Hill, boss of the upper house. … Heller is up by a small margin, according to a few respected polls. If he beats Berkley, it would be a humongous blow to the Nevada Democratic Party and Reid.  The bet here is Heller win by a margin that’s less than 5 points.

 

  • And from Human Events “We are confident Dean Heller will be re-elected on Nov. 6th because not only has he been a great senator for Nevada, but he’s running against one of the most unethical and liberal members of Congress,” said Brian Walsh, spokesman for the National Republican Senatorial Committee. “We believe that regardless of the outcome of the presidential race in Nevada, Dean Heller will win.”

 

In North Dakota, the Devil’s Lake Journal reports on just one stop on Rick Berg’s cross-state bus tour.  Berg said his motto about government spending is “10, Six, Four.” Ten referring to “the $10 million dollars the government spends each day, six referring to the $6 million dollars it takes in each day and four being the amount that’s lacking.”  Berg referenced his upbringing in Maddock and Hettinger, N.D., and said his grandparents came from Norway. He said they always wanted to work toward leaving a better future for the younger generation.  “We don’t want our kids to be anchored by our debts,” Berg said. “We need to fix this problem.”

 

In Ohio, the Dayton Daily News reports that Republican Florida Sen. Marco Rubio urged supporters gathered in Centerville on Friday to elect Josh Mandel to the U.S. Senate to help break partisan gridlock that Rubio blamed on the Democrats.   Rubio said he supports Ohio Treasurer Mandel in his bid to unseat Democratic U.S. Sen. Sherrod Brown of Ohio. Rubio said Democrats have paralyzed the Senate and Mandel would be critical to Republicans gaining a majority.  “We could use some Ohio commonsense” in the Senate, said Rubio, a freshman senator from Florida once mentioned as a possible Romney runningmate.

 

In Connecticut, Linda McMahon’s closing ad reminds voters that she is an independent thinker who knows we have to work together to grow our economy and create jobs.

In Florida, the Associated Press reports that Connie Mack is reminding voters in the Panhandle about liberal Democrat Bill Nelson’s liberal record.  Among other stops, Mack was in Jacksonville on Wednesday, the Panama City area on Thursday and the Jacksonville area Friday. On Saturday, he’ll be in Jacksonville and Panama City again

 

  • Meanwhile, the Palm Beach Post reports that if Governor Romney carries Florida, his coattails could help bring Connie Mack to Washington.  Republican Connie Mack IV and two-term Democrat Bill Nelson are battling through the final weekend of Florida’s U.S. Senate race, although both sides acknowledge their fate will really be shaped by Mitt Romney and President Obama, who sit atop their respective tickets.

In Arizona, the Eastern Arizona Courier reports that John McCain continues to tell Arizonans that he needs Jeff Flake in the U.S. Senate, so they can continue their crusade against wasteful spending.  Saying he hopes the U.S. Senate will have a Republican majority after the Nov. 6 election, McCain said he does not want to have the second member of the Arizona U.S. Senate delegation be a Democrat.  “I don’t want someone who will cancel out my vote,” McCain said. … It was Flake who stood up against earmarks, fighting to stop them in the House of Representatives, an action which put him in trouble with the House GOP leadership, said McCain, who fought against earmarks in the  U.S. Senate.  Flake stood his ground, and while almost a persona non grata, eventually he was welcomed back into the GOP fold after elections that turned out some Republicans who supported earmarks, the senator said.

 

In Nebraska, Leavenworth Street reports that the Nebraska Farm Bureau released a web video reminding voters that Valentine is strongly behind Deb Fischer.  The Nebraska Farm Bureau put out a video featuring the citizens of Valentine, NE talking about Deb Fischer. 

  • Meanwhile, as Kerrey unveils of all of his out of state endorsements, Larry the Cable Guy – an actual Nebraska voter – is supporting Fischer’s bid for the U.S. Senate.

In Hawaii, KHON-TV in Honolulu reports that last night former Governor Linda Lingle held a huge GOTV rally.  Hundreds of people attended an event Thursday night with the goal of encouraging voters to head to the polls.  More than 500 people attended a “Get Out the Vote” rally at Aloha Tower Marketplace.  It was hosted by Senate candidate republican Linda Lingle.

 

In Missouri, CBS-St. Louis reports that Todd Akin was back on the road Friday as he made stops in Warrenton and Fenton to make a final push in his goal to replace United States Senator Claire McCaskill.  Akin’s campaign is also spending $900,000 in TV ads over the next several days leading up to Tuesday.

#MASen Update: Scott Brown’s Closing Ad – “People Over Party

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In Massachusetts, Politico’s Morning Score previews Scott Brown’s closing ad – “People Over Party.”  Every day I hold this office, I will give all that is in me to serve you well and make you proud. I’ve kept my promise to be an independent voice,’ Scott Brown says in speech footage used in the ad. ‘I put people ahead of politics, and now I need your help to keep that independent tradition alive in Massachusetts. Let me tell you, things would be a lot better in this country if more people in Washington were willing to think for themselves and work with each other for the good of America.”

  • Meanwhile, the Salem News is the latest editorial board to endorse Scott Brown for re-election.  [O]ur scorecard shows that Brown has heeded all of those calls and, in some cases, taken them a step or two beyond what anyone could have hoped. Despite the questionable claims about his positions by his challenger, Harvard law professor Elizabeth Warren, it is clear that he has fought for Massachusetts workers and taxpayers alike — and that he will continue to do so. That’s why Scott Brown is our clear choice to be re-elected to his U.S. Senate seat when voters go to the polls Nov. 6…. Brown has been an effective, bipartisan senator in his short time in office. Let’s send his independent voice back to Washington to serve Massachusetts for a full term.

 

  • And the Boston Herald editorial board pans the faux outrage from Elizabeth Warren and the Democrats over Scott’s decision to continue his planned statewide bus tour instead of rescheduling the last debate. Certainly a recent Boston Globe poll which showed a neck and neck race (although a Suffolk University poll had her up by 7 percentage points) had nothing at all to do with her enthusiasm for a Thursday debate — one co-sponsored by the Globe, which had just endorsed her. But all that’s mere coincidence we’re certain.  Yes, some 300,000 households are still without power and wouldn’t be able to watch it anyway. And more than a few are distracted by the flooding in their basements and the trees down on the street.  In fact, Brown spent yesterday inspecting storm damage from Rehoboth to Plum Island — it’s what incumbents do. Warren’s campaign did not release an official schedule.

 

  • This sentiment was echoed by several local columnists today including the Herald’s Joe Battenfeld – This was a no-brainer for U.S. Sen. Scott Brown. Pick the voters.  Democrats and some in the media are predictably in a lather about the Republican incumbent forgoing a fourth televised debate, but the fact is Brown has already taken part in one more debate than then-U.S. Sen. Ted Kennedy did in 1994…. Brown also had agreed to two radio debates that Warren refused to attend, but there was no outrage over that.

Rep. Tom McClintock on the CA Propositions

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Dear Friend,

Here are my ballot recommendations for the propositions in November:

Prop 30: Your Wallet or Your Kids - NO 
Either approve $36 billion in higher sales and income taxes or else Gov. Brown threatens to shoot the schools.  Don’t worry, the income taxes are only on the “very wealthy,” but it turns out the “very wealthy” include many small businesses filing under sub-chapter S, meaning lower wages, higher prices and fewer jobs.  California already has one of the highest overall tax burdens in the country and yet has just approved a budget to spend $8 billion dollars more than it’s taking in.  Moral of the story: it’s the spending stupid.

Prop 31: Rotting Mackerel by Moonlight - NO 
This one shines and stinks.  On the shiny side, it moves us toward performance-based budgeting, restores certain powers to the governor to make mid-year spending reductions and requires new spending to be paid for.  On the stinky side, it provides a two-year budget cycle that makes fiscal gimmickry all the easier and locks into the Constitution an incredibly anal process for local communities to adopt “Strategic Action Plans” serving such open-ended new age objectives as “community equity” and nudges them into establishing regional governments to push this agenda.  The purpose of local governments is to provide basic services, not to pursue utopian four-year plans.

Prop 32: Cutting The Piggies Off From The Trough - YES 
In the “It’s About Time” category, this measure would finally prohibit unions, corporations, government contractors, and state and local governments from deducting money from employees’ paychecks for political purposes without their express written consent.  As Jefferson wrote, “To compel a man to furnish contributions of money for the propagation of opinions which he disbelieves and abhors is sinful and tyrannical.”  This puts an end to this despotic practice.

Prop 33: Rewarding Responsible Drivers - YES  
Here’s a no-brainer: should car insurance companies be allowed to offer a discount to drivers who maintain continuous coverage?  No, it’s not a trick question.  Under California’s convoluted law, if you switch auto insurers you can’t qualify for the continuous coverage discount.  This measure says you can.

Prop 34: Lifetime Room and Board (and Sex-Change Operations, too) for Murderers - NO
This abolishes the death penalty for first-degree murder.  Enough said.

Prop 35:  Red Light on Human Trafficking - YES  
Prop 35 greatly expands the definition of “Human Trafficking” (already illegal), and greatly increases existing penalties.  The problem is real and growing and needs stronger sanctions, although there are some provisions in Prop 35 that make it ripe for prosecutorial abuse, including limiting the ability of defendants to cross-examine witnesses and broadening the definition of trafficking to include those who never had contact with the victim.  On balance, though, the good outweighs the bad.

Prop 36: Gutting Three Strikes – NO  
After many years of rising crime rates, Californians finally struck back with the three-strikes law.  It is actually a two-strikes law: after two serious or violent felonies – in which one has murdered, assaulted, raped, robbed or pillaged his fellow citizens – he is on notice that any further misconduct will remove him from polite society.  Prop 36 would require that the third strike also be a serious or violent crime, giving dangerous criminals yet one more opportunity at atrocity.  The Left predicted that “Three Strikes” would have no effect on crime – in fact, crime rates have plummeted.  When it ain’t broke, don’t try and fix it.

Prop 37: Spit it Out – NO
This is the latest effort of the Nanny Left to tell us what to eat.  It requires foods that contain any ingredients resulting from biotechnology advances to carry the scary warning: “GENETICALLY ENGINEERED.”  There is not a shred of evidence that biotechnology is the least bit dangerous – it often reduces the need for pesticides.  To avoid branding their products with the Scarlet Warning, food processors would have to prove that every scrap and crumb in their fare is devoid of biotechnology or face crushing lawsuits.  Grocery prices high enough yet?

Prop 38: Pay More, Get Less – NO 
Not to be outdone by Prop. 30, this measure heaps $120 BILLION of new income taxes on those earning more than $7,316 (the new millionaires and billionaires of California’s impoverished economy).  It’s for the schools, of course.  No doubt these dollars (which families would just waste on necessities) will be as well spent as the staggering fortune that we’re already shoveling into the sclerotic school system.

Prop 39: Tax Us Before We Hire Again – NO
This is a $1 billion per year tax increase on California businesses to subsidize a whole new generation of Solyndra scams.  But remember, businesses don’t pay business taxes; they only collect them from employees through lower wages, from consumers through higher prices, or from investors through lower earnings.  Prop 39 might be bad news for California’s employees, consumers and investors, but it’s great news for the Nevada Chamber of Commerce.

Prop 40: Your GOP Donations At Work - YES  
This is a monument to the stupidity of some Republican Party leaders, who spent nearly $2 million of party funds to qualify – and then drop – this referendum to overturn the Senate reapportionment because several state senators didn’t like their new districts.  They had hoped to run in their old seats, but after qualifying the initiative found out they couldn’t anyway.  A “Yes” vote affirms that the new non-partisan Citizens Redistricting Commission works.

Please forward this email to your friends and family members who are voting this November.Regards,

Tom

Update on Key Senate Races #MESen #MASen #MTSen #NVSen #WISen #CTSen #VASen #FLSen #INSen #AZSen

2012-election

Driving The Discussion….

Yesterday, RNC Chairman Reince Priebus was on ABC’s This Week, where he expressed his confidence that the GOP will take back the U.S. Senate.  Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus expressed confidence Sunday morning that Republicans can win control of the Senate this November, even as polling shows Democrats have recently seized momentum in some key races.  “I’m very confident we can take the Senate,” Priebus said on ABC’s “This Week With George Stephanopoulos.”

In Maine, Politico’s Morning Score previews – MAINE SENATE-NRSC ENGAGES KING: Things are heating up in Maine. Angus King is reportedly holding an 11 a.m. press conference in Portland tomorrow to attack outside money generally and the NRSC’s statewide ad that went up Friday specifically (watch: http://goo.gl/1xJ1S ). State and national Republicans plan to pre-empt that presser with releases highlighting key questions for King. One of their talking points will be that their ad highlights people who live in the area affected by his wind farm project while King’s ad features actor Sam Waterson, who doesn’t live in Maine. They’ll also draw attention to reports he was in DC to raise money from Democratic lobbyists last week.

  • Meanwhile, Republican nominee Charlie Summers writes in the Portland Press Herald about how onerous regulations and higher taxes are hurting America’s small businessesThis all confirms what Mainers already know: We are in the midst of one of the slowest economic recoveries in history, and our nation is on the wrong path. The policies coming out of Washington and this administration simply are not working. Clearly we need to go in a new direction. We’ve tried Washington’s way, now let’s try the Maine way — the small-business way. The Maine way preserves middle-class tax cuts. Raising taxes on anyone in this economy is a bad idea, but hiking taxes on middle-class Mainers would be devastating.
  • And Summers met with the Portsmouth Herald editorial board where he discussed the importance of working across party lines to get things done for the United States.  Charlie Summers, Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate from Maine, said he sees himself as in the long line of Maine senators from Margaret Chase Smith to George Mitchell to Olympia Snowe. “At the end of the day, your responsibility is to move forward. That means working with people on both sides of the aisle,” he said.

In Massachusetts, the Boston Globe reports that former Democratic Mayor Ray Flynn joined Scott Brown on the campaign trail this weekend. In a Senate race that has turned on issues of class and authenticity, Flynn, a figure inextricably linked with blue-collar South Boston, personifies an important, if arguably dwindling, bloc of voters that Brown needs to capture. On Saturday, Flynn joined Brown as the senator shook hands at Castle Island.

  • Meanwhile, the Globe reports that Brown has a new ad up reminding voters of his bipartisan record.  In another new television ad, Senator Scott Brown again takes to his truck, this time emphasizing the theme of bipartisanship, while continuing his push for women voters.  The latest 30-second spot, which will begin airing Monday, features Brown driving to the Shrewsbury home of Diane Gilfoy-Henry, an unemployed single mother, for a conversation at her kitchen table.

  • Finally, Morning Score also reports - After months of positive bio spots, Massachusetts Sen. Scott Brown will go on the air with an ad that highlights the firestorm over Democrat Elizabeth Warren identifying herself as a Native American to employers. It ends with a devastating clip from a TV interview. The reporter asks, “Is there anything else that’s going to come out about you that we don’t already know?” Warren, trying to be funny, responds, “You know, I don’t think so. But who knows?” The Brown campaign notes that Warren went negative first, running two ads attacking his record, and that this Native American stuff matters. A campaign strategist flags a Suffolk Poll from last week that showed the third word most associated with Warren is “liar”: http://goo.gl/aA4Cz. Dave Catanese reported over the weekend that the race is entering a new, more negative phase: http://goo.gl/w9Ini.

In Montana, the Associated Press reports that a new Mason Dixon Poll has Denny Rehberg leading liberal U.S. Senator Jon Tester.  A new poll has found that Republican U.S. Rep. Denny Rehberg has a 3-point advantage over incumbent Democrat Jon Tester for the U.S. Senate.  A poll commissioned by Lee Newspapers of Montana found that 48 percent say they’ll vote for Rehberg while 45 percent support Tester. One percent said they’ll vote for Libertarian Dan Cox and 6 percent are undecided. 

  • Meanwhile, Politico’s Burns & Haberman report that the NRSC is up in Montana with a new 60-second ad casting Sen. Jon Tester as a foe of farmers and ranchers due to his votes on the estate tax.  The commercial packs more of a personal punch than other Republican advertising in the state, and departs from what has been a pretty narrow script of knocking Tester over the Affordable Care Act and other national GOP staples. This spot features a rancher named Turk Stovall, explaining that his father’s death could put his family’s property at risk due to the “death tax.”

In Virginia, the New York Times reports that George Allen continues to highlight the Obama Administration’s failure to address devastating defense cuts.  Just outside the gates of the storied Quantico Marine Base, George Allen, the Republican nominee for a Senate seat from Virginia, sat down in the offices of a moving van company with more than a dozen defense contractors from his state last Monday to listen to them fret over government spending cuts.  Mr. Allen has made opposition to the bipartisan deficit reduction law of 2011 the centerpiece of his campaign. … “I personally could never imagine voting for something so devastating to our national security and jobs in Virginia,” said Mr. Allen, a former senator seeking to regain the seat he lost six years ago to Jim Webb, a Democrat, who is retiring.

In Connecticut, the Hartford Courant reports that former Governor Jodi Rell, Senator Susan Collins and Senator Lisa Murkowski kicked off the “Women for Linda” rally on Saturday.  M. Jodi Rell, the state’s enormously popular former governor, said people often confuse her with Republican U.S. Senate candidate Linda McMahon.  In fact, Rell joked, she offered to fill in as McMahon’s double at parades and other campaign events.  While McMahon declined that offer, she enlisted Rell and two moderate Republican senators, Susan Collins of Maine and Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, in her drive to win over Connecticut’s women voters. The three women were the featured speakers at a “Women for Linda” rally McMahon held Saturday afternoon at a Norwalk hotel.

In Wisconsin, RNC Chairman Reince Priebus told ABC’s This Week that former Governor Tommy Thompson would defeat liberal Madison Congresswoman Tammy Baldwin.  [Priebus] added that the marquee race in his home state of Wisconsin favors the GOP nominee, former governor Tommy Thompson.  “I know that Tommy’s going to win here in Wisconsin. He is a legend. It’s like Harley-Davidson, Miller Lite, Tommy Thompson. He is a brand. He’s going to win.”

  • Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel reports that Governor Thompson greeted President Obama’s visit on Saturday, by reminding him of his job-killing record.  “Congresswoman Tammy Baldwin and President Obama ran on a message of hope and change, but four years later the stark reality of our nation’s economic state is setting in,” Thompson said.  Thompson said the campaign stop at the Summerfest grounds in which Baldwin is expected to appear with Obama “only further contrasts the choice families in Wisconsin and across the country will have to make on Election Day.” 
  • Columnist Christian Schnedier writes in the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel about Tammy Baldwin’s hypocritical campaignYet Baldwin’s undying romance with special interests is the stuff of legend. Baldwin pretends that no video of her exists among the throngs of public employees in the Wisconsin Capitol during the height of the recent collective bargaining conflict. There was Baldwin, bullhorn in hand, fighting to protect what might be the state’s strongest special interest from Gov. Scott Walker’s reforms. Indeed, government unions have shown their gratitude, with AFSCME recently purchasing nearly $1 million in television ads supporting her.

In Florida, the Miami Herald reports that Connie Mack brought his pro-jobs bus tour to Gainesville and Tallahassee.  Republican U.S. Senate candidate Connie Mack began the first of a weeklong bus tour Saturday, stoking the college crowds at tailgate events starting in Gainesville, where the the candidate’s Gators were playing the Kentucky Wildcats and ending in Tallahassee, where the Seminoles play the Clemson Tigers.

  • Meanwhile, the Orlando Sentinel reports that Connie Mack continues to highlight liberal Democrat Bill Nelson’s ties to President Barack Obama.  In recent days, both campaigns have switched to more issues-oriented commercials — and their long-term strategies are becoming clearer. Mack, behind in most polls, is trying to portray Nelson as more liberal than Floridians think, and to link him to President Barack Obama. …”Nelson has turned into a senator that says one thing to the people of Florida and then does another in Washington, D.C., as a liberal in lock step with Obama,” Mack said in an interview last week.

In Nevada, the Las Vegas Review-Journal reports that on Thursday, Dean Heller will debate embattled Congresswoman Shelley Berkley’s failed record.  Nevada’s U.S. Senate race gets real on Thursday.  Republican Sen. Dean Heller and his Democratic challenger, U.S. Rep. Shelley Berkley, will face off in their first televised debate in what’s sure to be a clash of both substance and style. … Heller, in turn, will try to pin Berkley to the wall by highlighting all the times she supported President Barack Obama’s unpopular policies, from backing the $800 billion stimulus bill that critics say failed to revive the economy to voting for his signature health care law, which trimmed $700 billion in Medicare spending over 10 years

  • Meanwhile, Heller’s campaign is up with a new ad reminding voters of Berkley’s flailing campaign.  Seven-term Congresswoman Shelley Berkley’s latest attack ads about fictitious scandals are a pathetic attempt to distract from her own ethics problems.  In the latest ad from Dean Heller, you don’t have to take just our word for it:

In Indiana, the Evansville Courier & Press reports that Richard Mourdock received another business endorsementRepublican U.S. Senate hopeful Richard Mourdock picked up another business endorsement last week, earning the backing of the Indiana Manufacturers Association. Pat Kiely, the president of the group, announced the endorsement in a statement Thursday. “Indiana’s efforts are being stifled because of the lack of a strong and coordinated pro-business effort at the federal level. We believe that Richard Mourdock will provide the leadership needed to benefit all Hoosiers,” he said. Mourdock’s campaign touted the move, adding it to a list that already includes the state and national Chamber of Commerce and the National Federation of Independent Businesses.

  • Meanwhile, conservative Human Events reminds Hoosiers that Senator Dick Lugar is supporting Mourdock’s bid.  “Yes, the senator is supporting Treasurer Mourdock,” Lugar press secretary Andy Fisher told us Friday. “On the night of the Friday election (when Mourdock defeated Lugar by a margin of 3-to-2), he said he would vote for him in November.”  Fisher also pointed out that, in July, Mourdock “was introduced by the senator to a luncheon of Republican senators.”

In Arizona, Jeff Flake penned an op-ed for the Arizona Daily Star reminding Arizonans that he’ll fight to fix our broken tax code.  First and foremost, the federal government needs to reform the tax code and eliminate burdensome regulations that hamper economic activity. So long as the U.S. has the largest corporate tax rate in the world, manufacturers will relocate their factories and plants overseas and new businesses will choose to incorporate in other countries. It’s tough for manufacturers to survive when they are literally being regulated out of business by the federal government. In order for manufacturers to thrive in the U.S., they need a pro-growth tax and regulatory environment.

  • Finally, the Arizona Republic reported that Richard Carmona was in recently in Washington raising money from his liberal friends.  Arizona Senate candidate Richard Carmona is attending a Democratic fundraiser in Washington this morning, according to The Hill, a move that some Republicans say is a sign he’d rubber-stamp Obama’s agenda. “Rubber-stamp,” if you haven’t been following, is the GOP’s favorite phrase for Carmona.    

In Nebraska, the Omaha World-Herald reports that Deb Fischer is leading liberal Democrat Bob Kerrey by 16 points.  The margin was even worse for Kerrey when the poll was narrowed to likely voters, with the former governor and two-term senator trailing Republican State Sen. Deb Fischer by 16 percentage points — 56 percent to 40 percent.

In New Mexico, the Alamgordo Daily News reports that Heather Wilson brought her pro-jobs campaign to Alamgordo.  U.S. Senate candidate Heather Wilson speaks with Alamgordo Flower Co. owner Margaret Brabson in her store Friday. Wilson also spoke to a group of small business owners at nearby at Print Plus. She is seeking the soon-to-be-vacant Senate seat left by outgoing U.S. Sen. Jeff Bingaman.

In Hawaii, the Associated Press reports that former Governor Linda Lingle will get 5 times to debate Mazie Hirono’s failed record for Hawaii.  Hawaii’s U.S. Senate candidates Mazie Hirono and Linda Lingle have settled on five debates before the Nov. 6 elections.  Campaigns for the Democrat Hirono and Lingle, a Republican, jointly announced on Wednesday that the schedule would include four televised debates, starting with an Oct. 8 debate on KHON-TV.  The candidates will debate Oct. 16 on KITV-TV, Oct. 18 on PBS Hawaii and Oct. 22 on Hawaii News Now.
In Michigan, the Livingston Daily Press & Argus reports that Pete Hoekstra is reminding voters that liberal U.S. Senator Debbie Stabenow is the worst senator the state of Michigan has ever had.  In the coming weeks, the battle for the White House could take a backseat in Michiganders’ minds as one of the most contentious U.S. Senate races in recent history draws to a close.  Two-term U.S. Sen. Debbie Stabenow, D-Lansing, faces challenger and former U.S. Rep. Pete Hoekstra, R-Holland, on the Nov. 6 ballot. U.S. Senate terms are six years long.  Hoekstra, who won an equally contentious GOP primary for the nomination in August, is making the case that Stabenow is “the worst senator Michigan has ever had,” as stated in his most recent ad.

In Pennsylvania, Politics PA reports that Tom Smith is closing the gap against liberal Senator Bob CaseyRepublican Senate hopeful Tom Smith still trails Bob Casey, but his race is closer than the presidential contest in Pa. … It’s the first time in 2012 that any pollster has shown the Senate campaign narrower than the presidential in numbers released the same week.

#MASen Video Update: Harvard Professor Elizabeth Warren “Catastrophically Anti-Business”

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In Massachusetts  – on the heels of Elizabeth Warren’s recent television ad  falsely portraying the Harvard Professor as a champion of small business, the Massachusetts Republican Party today released a new web video exposing her real record on issues of importance to our job creators….

  • And National Public Radio has a must read story outlining the “malaise” of Warren’s embattled Senate campaign.  Elizabeth Warren’s campaign malaise continues to mystify. However, as election season enters its post-convention phase, underlying reasons for her inertia have begun to emerge. The bad news for Warren is that they’re not easy to correct.  Warren’s candidacy appears spawned from Washington, D.C. – contrived by higher-ups in her party – and she’s done little over the past year to dispel that perception. She has shallow political roots in Massachusetts, having developed her public persona as a consumer technocrat in D.C. and as a special aide to President Obama. True believers in her party have fawned over her with descriptors like “rock star,” but to others – beyond those who wore funny hats and screamed on the convention floor in Charlotte last week – she’s come across as mediocre.   This is unfortunate for a campaign facing Scott Brown – the ultimate organic grass roots candidate. Brown earned much of his respect among the electorate the hard way, jumping onto the national stage as a consummate underdog.

#MASen Update: Elizabeth Warren’s DNC Speech Falls Flat, Hit in San Fran., Miss in Mass

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In Massachusetts, today’s lead in the Boston Globe says it all about the state of Professor Elizabeth Warren’s campaign — Elizabeth Warren used a national audience Wednesday night to deliver a campaign message that has hit a roadblock back at home.

Added to Warren’s problems, the New York Times reports that real Native American Democrats in Charlotte this week are continuing to hold Warren’s feet to the fire on her bizarre claim that she is a minorityKaren Geronimo, a member of the Mescalero Apache tribe in town for the Democratic convention, knows what she wants from Elizabeth Warren, the Senate candidate from Massachusetts: a blood sample.  “Someone needs to make her take a DNA test,” said Ms. Geronimo, whose husband, Harlyn Geronimo, is the great-grandson of the legendary warrior Geronimo.  The still-simmering controversy over Ms. Warren’s self-proclaimed American Indian heritage has chased her from the campaign trail in Massachusetts to the convention hall, resonating with a small but vocal constituency: American Indian Democrats.  During her academic career, Ms. Warren, a Harvard Law School professor, identified herself as a minority, citing her one thirty-second Cherokee blood, a fact that Republicans pounced on to try to portray her as an opportunist and a fraud. The line on her résumé does not seem to set well with some Indian members of her own party.  “If you’re going to be Native, don’t just be Native on paper,” said Lexie LaMere, a Nebraska delegate and member of the Winnebago Tribe of Nebraska. “What’s troubling is that she’s shown nothing in her history of being involved in Native American issues.”

Over at Reason’s Hit & Run blog, Garrett Quinn says Elizabeth Warren’s DNC Speech Falls Flat. Warren’s speech was an Us vs. Them argument even though her opponent, Sen. Scott Brown, is doing a better job of making it a non-partisan one-on-one contest. Indeed, Warren never mentioned Brown in her DNC speech. As a Republican, Brown has huge institutional disadvantages in Massachusetts that range from registration disparity to the stunning incompetency of the state party to organize at the hyperlocal level. Rocketing to stardom after launching her campaign but struggling since, Warren has somehow managed to fail to meet expectations in a state that is overwhelmingly Democratic. Her enduring a scandal about her reported American Indian heritage and often being outmaneuvered by the Brown campaign has not helped her either.

Michael Patrick Leahy at Breitbart concurred citing Warren Speech: Hit in San Fran., Miss in Mass. They loved Elizabeth Warren’s DNC speech in San Francisco: ELIZABETH WARREN: Sensible. She projects “sensible,” but don’t mistake that for a lack of passion, or a lack of political instinct. She also projects “relentless.” Warren took a crowd ready to fall in love and sealed the deal. She showed why Scott Brown is in the fight of his brief career. But in Boston they wonder why she failed to mention Scott Brown. But if you passed up the football game to watch it, Warren’s speech had one somewhat curious omission – any mention of her opponent, Scott Brown. And that she is more interested in the national spotlight: She spoke in Charlotte rather than campaign in Charlestown because she wants to nationalize the race and portray Scott Brown as a Republican yes-man who will thwart the Obama agenda. But Brown has an independent voting record. And unlike Warren, Brown didn’t speak at his party’s convention to add volume to their national agenda. If anything, by speaking in prime time last night Warren proved that if elected she would be a “hell, yes” woman for the national Democratic platform, no matter how much the independent majority of voters in Massachusetts thinks it out of step with their views.

Meanwhile, continuing his ongoing dialogue with voters during the DNC convention this week, Scott Brown writes in the Boston Herald today, Unfortunately, my opponent, Elizabeth Warren, subscribes to this way of doing business. She says she will “throw rocks” at people she disagrees with, and that she would prefer “plenty of blood and teeth left on the floor” than compromise. She makes wild accusations against people who simply don’t see things her way.  I have strongly held views, but I recognize others have different ideas, and I trust they believe what they do for the same reason I believe what I do — because we think our ideas will lead to a better America for ourselves and future generations.

Finally, continuing to undercut the Democrats’ attacks on him, the Boston Herald reports, Republican Sen. Scott Brown crossed the aisle this morning to join in a chorus of praise for first lady Michelle Obama, who addressed the Democratic National Convention last night.  “We’ve met her obviously and Gail has spent more time with her than I have. She’s a striking woman, hard-charging and an exceedingly dedicated family person,” Brown said.

#MASen Update: Warren Dodges DNC Meeting with Native American Delegates

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In Massachusetts, if you’re going to read one story on this race today take note of this piece in Politico reporting that top Democratic donors are backing Scott Brown.  To the amazement of many in her party, Warren enters the fall home stretch against Republican Sen. Scott Brown behind in polls, trailing among independents and even failing to lock down her own party.  The sharp-tongued consumer advocate and Harvard Law professor is struggling to connect with working-class swing voters, many of whom seem more comfortable with Brown and his middle-of-the-road, regular-guy persona. Her fierce criticism of Wall Street has sent some Democratic Bay State financial types scurrying into Brown’s camp, too….Bruce Percelay, a longtime Democratic donor and close friend of Sen. John Kerry, is making a rare trek across party lines to support Brown. Percelay plans to work for Kerry’s reelection in 2014 and has given tens of thousands of dollars to Reps. Ed Markey and Mike Capuano as well as the national Democratic Party. But earlier this year Percelay gave $3,250 to Brown.  “Elizabeth Warren is not someone who I can comfortably wrap my arms around,” he said. “Not everyone is willing to express it, but [Brown] is the perfect Massachusetts Republican. He’s socially moderate and fiscally conservative and not a strong ideologue. People are very comfortable with that.”  In an interview, he said he was unsettled by the controversy surrounding Warren’s claim to Cherokee heritage and her hot rhetoric on economic disparity.

 

  • And the embattled Harvard Professor also finds herself under fire from fellow Democrats as Native American delegates to the DNC Convention in Charlotte demand a meeting with her this week – and as yet, Warren has refused to respond.  The Boston Herald reports, Elizabeth Warren can’t escape her Cherokee heritage controversy even at this gathering of loyal Democrats, as a contingent of skeptical American Indian delegates – including the great-grandson of Geronimo – are inviting Warren to a meeting tomorrow to explain her ancestry claims.  “I think she owes us that, she owes the Native American community here at least that,” said Stephen Lewis, a member of the Gila River Indian community….”If you’re going to claim that you are American Indian and a descendant of some Native nation then you have to represent,” said Sharon Stewart-Peregoy, a Montana state senator and member of the Crow Nation. “You have to step up and bring those (American Indian) issues forward. That’s what it’s all about.”

  • Speaking of fellow Democrats not backing her campaign, the Herald also reports that Boston Mayor Tom Menino is still refusing to endorse WarrenHub Mayor Thomas M. Menino had yet another wonderful opportunity to endorse Democratic Senate candidate Elizabeth Warren at this morning’s Greater Boston Labor Council breakfast, but Boston’s longest-serving boss demurred, instead focusing on the election in general and jabbing at national Republicans…So far, Menino has remained on the sidelines of the Bay State’s contentious and closely watched Senate race, which pits Warren against GOP Sen. Scott Brown. Despite Massachusetts’ blue-state leanings, Brown has managed to hold his own in polls.

 

  • And driving all of this home, Warren’s problems with fellow Democrats was a topic of conversation on MSNBC’s Morning Joe this morning.  Please watch below….

  • Meanwhile, Scott Brown penned an op-ed for the Boston Herald where he reminds voters that he consistently reaches across the aisle to get things done in Washington.  I was honored to be named by Congressional Quarterly as one of the most bipartisan senators in the country. Whatever else separates us, we’re all Americans first.  During these challenging times, we need to work cooperatively to create jobs and get this economy moving again. Over and over again, I hear from voters they are tired of the shrill partisan voices in Washington that contribute to deadlock and dysfunction. My proudest moments as a senator have been those times when I stood with President Obama as he signs into law bipartisan legislation that I have sponsored. My goal is not to score political points but to get things done.  My motto is a good idea is a good idea, regardless of whether it’s a Republican idea or a Democratic idea.

#MASen Update: Scott Brown has a New Ad Featuring Former Navy Pilot Tom Hudner & Another Democrat Crosses the Aisle to Endorse

In Massachusetts, Politico’s Morning Score reports that Scott Brown has a new ad featuring former Navy pilot Tom Hudner who received the Congressional Medal of Honor for his service to our country.  “Today we’re going to meet with a real American hero,” Scott Brown says in his new ad, part of the “from the road” series the campaign is rolling out through the summer. “Tom Hudner was a Navy pilot in the Korean War. When his wingman was shot down, Tom deliberately crash landed his plane behind enemy lines to rescue him. And for that, he got the Congressional Medal of Honor.” Then Captain Hudner, standing at his door, welcomes Brown in. Brown, admiring his medal, thanks him for his service. “Well, we thank you, Scott, for all the support,” Hudner tells him. “You do a great service for all the veterans in our country.” This will begin airing tomorrow in the Boston, Springfield, Providence and Albany markets, as well as on statewide cable.

 

CLICK HERE TO WATCH THIS VIDEO

  • Meanwhile, Scott Brown pens an op-ed for the Berkshire Eagle reaffirming that he has been a strong advocate for women in the Bay State.  There’s an old saying in campaigns that goes something like “the more desperate a candidate gets, the uglier and more misleading their attacks be come.” Unfortunately, the Senate race in Massachusetts is no exception to the rule, as this week my opponent launched a campaign of distortion about my record of supporting women.  I take this personally, because as a husband of 26 years and the father of two wonderful daughters, I have been a strong advocate for women’s issues in the Senate, often breaking party ranks and building bipartisan support for legislation that women care deeply about. I am pro-choice and support a woman’s right to choose. There are people of goodwill on both sides of this issue, but I believe that Roe v. Wade is the law of the land, and that a woman should be able to make what is a very personal and difficult decision in consultation with her doctor and family.
  • Finally, Another Democrat crosses the aisle to endorse Scott Brown in Chelmsford this morning:

Former Democratic State Rep. Paul Casey Crosses the Aisle to Endorse Scott Brown

#MASen Update: Democratic Strategists are Desperate to have the Press Believe the Akin Controversy is a Problem for Scott Brown

In Massachusetts, Democratic campaign strategists are desperate to have the press believe that the Akin controversy is a problem for other Republicans like Scott Brown but unfortunately for the DSCC, the state and national headlines tell a very, very different story….

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For example, the Boston Herald reports that Gail Huff continues to tout Scott Brown’s independent credentials.  Elizabeth Warren’s attempts to link Scott Brown to the rumpus over U.S. Rep. Todd Akin’s polarizing statements on rape will work to his advantage by distinguishing him from his own party’s anti-abortion platform, the U.S. senator’s wife said yesterday.  “I think it’s a gift to Scott because once again it shows that he’s an independent-minded man that’s not going to follow the doctrine or the dictation of anyone else, including his own party,” said Gail Huff, who is on leave from her television